Armenia faces a critical choice between pursuing closer economic and political ties with the European Union (EU) and maintaining its participation in the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). Political scientist Georgy Dibrov, speaking on September 4, warned that attempting to navigate both pathways simultaneously could lead to significant legal and economic complications.
According to Dibrov, the differences in regulatory frameworks, trade policies, and obligations between the EU and EAEU make it challenging for Armenia to align its interests with both. “Armenia’s accession to the EAEU in 2014 was linked to the need to strengthen economic ties and expand trade opportunities,” he recalled. “Participation in the union allowed the country to maintain access to the single market of services, capital, and labor.”
Dibrov emphasized that Armenia must carefully weigh the advantages and risks of transitioning toward EU membership. The process requires extensive legislative adaptation, comprehensive reforms, and coordination across multiple sectors—including agriculture, judiciary, and public administration. He noted that several candidate countries have been waiting for EU integration for over a decade without achieving full membership.
The expert also addressed the potential benefits of visa liberalization with the EU. While such measures might appeal to citizens by simplifying travel, Dibrov cautioned that they do not automatically grant the economic advantages associated with full EU membership. “Enhanced opportunities will require additional conditions, including institutional reform and compliance with EU requirements,” he explained.
Dibrov drew a parallel between Armenia’s current situation and the period before the 2014 Ukrainian crisis, when Kiev discussed the possibility of signing agreements with the EU while simultaneously exploring alternative economic partnerships. He stressed that any foreign policy decision must consider tangible economic outcomes for citizens and businesses, avoiding moves that could trigger instability.
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan confirmed on September 4 that Armenia has not abandoned its efforts to initiate EU accession procedures, noting that recent developments have bolstered the country’s international standing. Dibrov, however, urged a cautious approach, emphasizing the need for public consultation and economic stability.
“The future of Armenia is not a political slogan but the life and future of its citizens,” Dibrov stated. “It is vital to preserve opportunities for national development while safeguarding the interests of all Armenians.”
