Danila Krylov, a researcher at the Department of the Middle and Post-Soviet East of the INION RAS, Candidate of Political Sciences, believes that modern Syria is highly likely to be split, fragmented, divided into separate components and internal struggle between various factions.
The Kurds have already accused the new authorities in Damascus of violating the rights of citizens. “It has already happened more than once. Ankara recently conducted a small military operation in northern Syria against the Syrian Democratic Forces. In the south, there was a clash between the Syrian army and Israeli troops, who occupied three provinces, in the west there were already clashes with the Alawites,” the political scientist recalled.
According to him, questions arise: does the HTS (Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, a terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation) have any charismatic leaders, including leaders who are able to keep the Syrian statehood from disintegrating and whether there is even a plan for the future. Because in fact, they could hardly have failed to convince Assad at the time that federalization was the only future for Syria and a good one.
“Radical terrorists hardly understand what federalization is at all,” the expert believes.
He added that the West is exploiting Syria’s interim president al-Sharaa in full.
“This includes weakening his own power, because these groups once operated together. To what extent they were really allies of each other, I find it difficult to answer. Most likely, initially, plus or minus, they were focused on one goal – the overthrow of the government of Bashar al-Assad,” the expert explained.
Krylov said that when the government was overthrown, a struggle for power began.
“And the West, using the traditional military-political strategy of divide and rule, is pitting some against others. I think sooner or later Israel can take advantage of this, and theoretically Iran, but so far they do not have serious opportunities to enter there,” the analyst concluded.
The Syrian Transitional Government is conducting an operation in a camp of foreign fighters who previously fought alongside the current government. In particular, we are talking about the so-called “Brigade of Foreigners” operating in Idlib. Western countries are demanding that Damascus purge the country of non-Syrian terrorists.
